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 Post subject: Re: Modern professionals. Underrated?
Post #41 Posted: Sun Jul 12, 2015 7:54 am 
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Tonight I unexpectedly had the chance to go eating (OK, drinking and [some] eating) with Fukui Masaaki 9p, the doyen of historical Go in Japan, whom I had never met before. It took me a while to get up my nerve to ask him about this question (in this sense "a while" means that I had drunk quite a bit of Japanese sake and Fukui-sensei had imbibed an equal amount of shochu [shochu? OK, no one is perfect right?]) so the result may not have been as clear as one could wish. :oops:

In any case Fukui-sensei was adamant that Dosaku would have no chance against Iyama. Go has just progressed too much in the mean time. At the same time he railed against the modern time limits (clearly in JF's camp), which prevent modern players from realizing their full potential. On the hypothetical question about historical greats training up in modern times, it's pointless because we will never know. Interestingly he believes that proper komi is 5.5 points and that the shift to 6.5 (not to mention 7.5 in China) has shifted the burden to Black.

We also enjoyed a lively (but by then extremely confused) discussion of the Masters Cup final between Cho Chikun and Takemiya (thanks to macelee and Go4Go for the file on my iPad!). The consensus was that after Takemiya produced the very interesting Black 25, he sort of fell back on ordinary plays thereafter and deserved his fate. Needless to say, there was no consensus on what he might have done instead. :)
Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bcm25 Masters Cup Final; Cho (White) vs. Takemiya; 2015-07-11
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$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . O . |
$$ | . . O . . . . . . . . . . . X O O . O |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X X O . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . X . . . . . X O . O |
$$ | . . . . . X . . . . . . . . . X O O . |
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$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]

Attached is a picture of Fukui-sensei and my teacher Koh Seiken.
Attachment:
Fukui Koh small.JPG
Fukui Koh small.JPG [ 144.65 KiB | Viewed 7356 times ]

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Post #42 Posted: Sun Jul 12, 2015 8:02 am 
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Nice story :) That Black 25 in the Cho-Takemiya game was totally pure Takemiya!

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Post #43 Posted: Sun Jul 12, 2015 12:13 pm 
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ez4u wrote:
Tonight I unexpectedly had the chance to go eating (OK, drinking and [some] eating) with Fukui Masaaki 9p, the doyen of historical Go in Japan, whom I had never met before.


You're lucky to get these opportunities to drink and chat with these guys! Seems like you have some great connections.

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Post #44 Posted: Tue Jul 14, 2015 11:08 am 
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At some point may be possible to attempt an analysis of the strength of historical players using computers, similar to what has been done in chess.

Analyses such as the above suffer from the "outrunning the bear" problem: a player who knows his opponent---as many historical players did---does not have to play the strongest moves, just strong enough to win.

Modern players of course benefit from modern theory, but it's hard to assess the value of modern theory in absolute terms. Lee Sedol is often behind in the opening, but he sure wins a lot nonetheless. Harder perhaps than learning new openings would be getting used to shorter time limits.

I would hope that most modern players should have the common sense not to take on a historical player in the taisha...there are probably still a lot of "house secrets" that never got written down. :)

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Post #45 Posted: Mon Jul 20, 2015 9:22 am 
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Sakata's take on studying older games (from Go World 52)
Quote:
Then I did a funny thing. Casually, almost unconsciously, I picked up a few books from the shelves in my study and started to leaf through them. They were collections of games by Genjo, Chitoku, Jowa, Shuwa, Shusaku, etc. - all of the great players of the past. I began to play the games out on the board. As I have said before this was unusual for me; I rarely studied books. (...)
I was not trying to find new moves to play, since the level of technique had advanced greatly between the past and modern times. But ignoring the questionable moves in the opening, the games from the old days featured some truly grand battles. I realized something else: the players of the past fought much more intensely than those of today. The fortunes of the hereditary houses to which they belonged depended upon the wins of those masters for their survival. There is a world of difference between that kind of responsibility and that of today's players, who are fighting only for money and personal pride. As I played out the games I experienced a palpable sensation of the stately dignity with which their moves were made.


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Post #46 Posted: Mon Jul 20, 2015 12:01 pm 
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Thanks for all your attention! I was just curious so forgive me if some of you felt offended! Even though my thought unchanged.

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Post #47 Posted: Tue Jul 21, 2015 4:03 am 
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Just been looking at a long essay by Segoe Kensaku: "Democratisation of go and teaching methods". It begins with the sentence "When we contrast modern go with old go, the gap between them is such that they can hardly be compared."

He is talking more about teaching methods then go strength, but still one presumably impacts on the other. The basis of his argument is that in Edo times the Four Families taught only their own pupils and there was no sharing even with other pros. So not only was the old pool much smaller, it was divided into several discrete even smaller pools, with a stronger risk of stagnation.

Indeed, it is already known that Edo go went through several periods of stagnation.

Segoe was writing at a time when the democratic impact of newspapers and books, at least for those with disposable incomes, was perhaps as strong as the internet nowadays.


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Post #48 Posted: Tue Jul 21, 2015 6:22 am 
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I would think that "Democratisation of go and teaching methods" has only led to a much greater number of people being able to play go rather than a quick rise in the go strength of pros.
On the other hand, I would think that modern pros have much more distractions compared with their ancient counterparts who probably study go in a monastic fashion.
While there is perhaps a greater development in the opening in modern go as it directly impacts fast modern games, I don't see modern professionals pondering go to such depth that they could construct a tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.

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Post #49 Posted: Tue Jul 21, 2015 6:57 am 
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tchan001 wrote:
I don't see modern professionals pondering go to such depth that they could construct a tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.

Ôhashi Hirofumi 6p once mentioned (having created over 2.000 own Tsume-Go at that time) that he would wish to be able creating a problem like Igo Hatsuyôron 120 once in his lifetime.

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Post #50 Posted: Tue Jul 21, 2015 8:47 am 
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tchan001 wrote:
I don't see modern professionals pondering go to such depth that they could construct a tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.


I think that comes down more to practicality than capability.

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Post #51 Posted: Wed Jul 29, 2015 9:28 pm 
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oren wrote:
tchan001 wrote:
I don't see modern professionals pondering go to such depth that they could construct a tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.


I think that comes down more to practicality than capability.

If it comes down to practicality, it would appear that it is even more important for ancient players to focus on winning the game given Sakata's thought on "The fortunes of the hereditary houses to which they belonged depended upon the wins of those masters for their survival." Given the democratisation of go and go teaching methods leading to more people knowing how to play go, it's not hard to imagine modern professionals who have declining careers in tournament play could still make a good living teaching private lessons or writing books or giving lectures. Whereas the ancient players faced a matter of survival of their institution. So you would think that in terms of practicality, ancient players would have less time to ponder and construct tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.
In terms of modern tsumego composers, the best known are perhaps Kada Katsuji 9p, Maeda Nobuaki 9p, and Hashimoto Utaro 9p. They all compose wonderful tsumego, but just not as wonderful as Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120. So if they do pursue the height of tsumego creation and yet have not accomplished what the ancient had, can you really imply that they have the same capability?

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Post #52 Posted: Wed Jul 29, 2015 9:54 pm 
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tchan001 wrote:
So you would think that in terms of practicality, ancient players would have less time to ponder and construct tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.


They didn't have Facebook back then.

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Post #53 Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 9:05 am 
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tchan001 wrote:
In terms of modern tsumego composers, the best known are perhaps Kada Katsuji 9p, Maeda Nobuaki 9p, and Hashimoto Utaro 9p. They all compose wonderful tsumego, but just not as wonderful as Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120. So if they do pursue the height of tsumego creation and yet have not accomplished what the ancient had, can you really imply that they have the same capability?


The amount of printing done today vs before and what the fans/go students want is different is what I am getting to there. I think any of the players mentioned could create an Igo Hatsuyoron 120 but the practical value of doing so is not there. Most modern composers want shorter and interesting tsumego they can compile into books or share with other pros to try out in reasonable time lengths. Not too many want to work on a ridiculously long single tsumego.


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Post #54 Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 11:32 pm 
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oren wrote:
tchan001 wrote:
In terms of modern tsumego composers, the best known are perhaps Kada Katsuji 9p, Maeda Nobuaki 9p, and Hashimoto Utaro 9p. They all compose wonderful tsumego, but just not as wonderful as Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120. So if they do pursue the height of tsumego creation and yet have not accomplished what the ancient had, can you really imply that they have the same capability?


The amount of printing done today vs before and what the fans/go students want is different is what I am getting to there. I think any of the players mentioned could create an Igo Hatsuyoron 120 but the practical value of doing so is not there. Most modern composers want shorter and interesting tsumego they can compile into books or share with other pros to try out in reasonable time lengths. Not too many want to work on a ridiculously long single tsumego.

With a large population of amateur players, the creation of shorter and interesting tsumego into books for this audience is indeed most welcomed. Many pros are able to provide such tsumego with ease. But the idea of creating a tsumego like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120 is not intended for this market. It is to leave behind a legacy of the limits of one's creative mind by creating a lifetime masterpiece.

Kada Katsuji has also created some very difficult tsumego which covers many pages of explanations along with branch tsumego which are related to main. And he is greatly recognized for his body of intense tsumego compositions. However his creations still pale in comparison to Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120.

If people weren't interested in a problem like Igo Hatsuyo-ron #120, why would Fujisawa Shuko according to SL call it "a lifetime masterpiece, with elegant shapes, a striking novelty of the theme, a precise balance of the fights, etc." and produce "his version of a solution with 1,000 hours work, including the assistance of some of his students".

If it wasn't interesting for fans, why would three amateurs continue to struggle to solve it while seeking professional validation of parts of their study for it's solution? If someone could successfully publish several books on a single problem that has not been fully solved yet, why would a book on an even more difficult and elegant tsumego not be worthwhile?

Why do people strive to be the best? Why do people strive to break world records? It is the urge to test and surpass the limits. If someone had the ability to create the most difficult and elegant tsumego in the world, why wouldn't they unless they couldn't?

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Post #55 Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2015 2:33 pm 
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wessanenoctupus wrote:
this question was clearly answered when Sai came back to haunt Hikaru, and then proceeded to defeat the strongest modern player of all, Meijin Touya.

Why are we all still talking about it. Just watch that documentary Hikaru no go if you want all the details.
Sai is a ghost with centuries of experience. Heck, he was even alive when the Japanese were still playing in the ancient Chinese style and under ancient Chinese rules.

Having said this, I wonder how much of the influence of ancient Chinese Go theory shows up in modern-day Go, starting with Go Seigen's games.

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Post #56 Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2015 8:25 pm 
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Kirby wrote:
Bantari wrote:
I hope my point is clear now.


I think you should read what I wrote before arguing against it.

I am saying, "All other things being equal" a larger pool leads to greater chance that the best players will be a part of that pool.


Point taken.
And you are correct, "all other things being equal" you are right. I have to learn to read more carefully.

In my defense:
In the context of this discussion, all other things are definitely NOT equal. So while *in theory* what you say is true, as a comment to comparing old pros to modern pros it is *in practice* not very relevant. I was arguing with what I preceived to be the relevance of your post. And my bad - I indeed did not notice that you were making an OT remark. Sorry.

PS>
To directly address what you say though, it is still not always the case. I would say it all depends on how you select your sample. For example: considering Go talent, you might select top 10% and top 20% as your population. And I will still argue that, while the second population will be much larger and all other things being equal, the top player(s) in both groups will still be equally strong.

So what you say is true ONLY when the pools are selected randomly. Which you did not really specifically say as far as I remember, and which is not the case in this case since people don't just randomly start playing Go.

Which is also sort-of, part-of, the argument I was trying to make.

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Post #57 Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2015 3:32 pm 
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Bantari wrote:
PS>
To directly address what you say though, it is still not always the case. I would say it all depends on how you select your sample. For example: considering Go talent, you might select top 10% and top 20% as your population. And I will still argue that, while the second population will be much larger and all other things being equal, the top player(s) in both groups will still be equally strong.

So what you say is true ONLY when the pools are selected randomly. Which you did not really specifically say as far as I remember, and which is not the case in this case since people don't just randomly start playing Go.

Yes, you are talking about percentages now, which I also wrote about (you can see the original comment):

Kirby wrote:
Percentages are a different story. If you want to be in the top 10% of a distribution, it might be similar difficulty to be in the top 10% between populations of different sizes.


We're just talking about math here. If you talk percentages, with equal distribution between groups, top 10% is probably similar between the two groups. If you're talking about absolute numbers, top 10 for example, top 10 will generally be more talented when the population is larger. Assuming equal distribution, no other factors, etc. And when I say "all other things being equal", this implies random sample. Otherwise, you've introduced variables into the sample.

Anyway, that's all I was saying from that comment I made over a month ago :-)

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Post #58 Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2016 8:32 pm 
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I think if you were to take one of the Legendary greats and transport them here they would probably just have a heart attack, then spend a lot of time exploring the new world, rather than becoming the best at go...In the FUTURE!

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Post #59 Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2016 9:46 pm 
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To be honest, ever since I started go in 2011, I've been wondering just how well shusaku etc would fare in today's world. Would they be stronger than the top pros today? About as strong? Weaker? I've had a few debates throughout the years, and after listening to a lot of pro commentaries, I've come to the conclusion that Shuusaku, Dosaku, Huang Longshi etc, would not be competitive today. They would be top amateur level max.

Chinese and Korean pros today don't study games from the famous players of the past. I have heard directly (in commentaries and interviews) from Shi Yue and other pros that they respect the past masters, but their games are only good as a historical value, and are not really worth studying.

Recently, I've also been really interested in just exactly how strong AlphaGo is. Before the Lee Sedol matches, most go players thought Lee SEdol would win 5-0. I thought it would be 5-0 either way, but it was completely possible AlphaGo far surpassed humans already. But after the games, I wasn't sure if AlphaGo was "merely" top pro strength, and only won because Lee Sedol wasn't prepared and wasn't used to playing bots, or if AlphaGo really was much stronger than humans. And it seems many pros still thought that AlphaGo was beatable, with Chang Hao and Shi Yue saying that they think if they had more time to prepare, top pros would have a 50/50 chance against AlphaGo v18. So I was really on the fence.

However, yesterday, I saw an article on Sina quoting Ke Jie, saying something like "sooner or later, bots will be stronger than humans. Humans inevitably make mistakes, but that is part of what makes go interesting..."

It seems to me that Ke Jie is basically admitting that AlphaGo is in fact, too strong for humans now. Honestly I feel kind of sad, but...

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Post #60 Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2016 9:53 pm 
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idontgetit wrote:
Chinese and Korean pros today don't study games from the famous players of the past. I have heard directly (in commentaries and interviews) from Shi Yue and other pros that they respect the past masters, but their games are only good as a historical value, and are not really worth studying.


Not ancient Japan, but when I was in BIBA On Sojin 7p did study Go Seigen's games.

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