The discussion of the original topic has died down. So, I will post this as a follow-up topic.
Bill's insistence on analyzing old games as if they were played with modern komi, continues to make my teeth hurt. So naturally I always start off by analyzing his positions using komi = original game. In this case that means komi = zero. Below is the result of running Katago's 40-block overnight up to 5.3 million PO's. Blue is the press at E16, just as Elf had it. However, we can see that Katago has searched some of the alternatives deeply along the way (the 4-4 in the lower right has 767K PO's for example). Furthermore we can see that the press has an estimated score of 7.7 points while all the alternatives are 7.4 points or less. In other words, the press is above a theoretical komi of 7.5 while all the alternatives are below. Of course I have whined at Bill in the past about this sort of "tipping point" being the source of Elf's "super error" judgements. So, what to do? Let's run Katago with the komi set to 7.5 instead of zero and see what win rates it comes up with...
Another night run (actually several nights later, which is why this post is so late) produced the following after 4.7 million PO's. Now we see that Katago calculates Blue as the star point in the lower right instead of the press. The difference is a fraction of a %, so easily fits Bill's "within the margin of error" meme.
Note that both the press and tenuki have estimated scores of -0.2 (i.e. both are now below the komi of 7.5 points). Also note that the search is much more concentrated on the two plays mentioned. It would be fascinating to understand whether this is random fluctuation or the way Katago will categorize its search when it is ahead or behind. (Hint, hint, feel free to comment lightvector!)
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Dave Sigaty"Short-lived are both the praiser and the praised, and rememberer and the remembered..."
- Marcus Aurelius; Meditations, VIII 21