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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #101 Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:35 am 
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jlt wrote:
There aren't many data on Furuta Naoyoshi on goratings, https://www.goratings.org/en/players/1625.html

it seems he has never been very strong or active.


http://archive.nihonkiin.or.jp/player/htm/ki000318.htm

That seems to be the case, yes. Sorry I didn't include the link.

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Nevertheless, this shows that Sumire can beat weak professionals consistently, which is good for her.


Not so good for those pros, however. Which is the name of the game, mind you, but I can still see their side.

Take care.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #102 Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2019 4:32 am 
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Quote:
There aren't many data on Furuta Naoyoshi on goratings, https://www.goratings.org/en/players/1625.html


He is now 0-7 so far this year (2019), and last year scored 1-10.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #103 Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:27 am 
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John Fairbairn wrote:
He is now 0-7 so far this year (2019), and last year scored 1-10.


Do you happen to know if he has further pupils, besides Takagi Junpei?

My reason for asking is that I'm not sure "we", the West, have thoroughly thought what we'll do with our pros, besides tournaments. People like Naoyoshi-sensei might give us a clue.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #104 Posted: Tue Sep 24, 2019 3:08 am 
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For those interested, video from the Hiroshima Al cup. I'm afraid I can't search for the SGF for a while. Sorry about that.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #105 Posted: Wed Sep 25, 2019 2:15 pm 
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Thanks for the video.
Links to the sgf of the Hiroshima Al Cup games:
- http://kifudepot.net/kifucontents.php?i ... 3D#player={"goto":{"m":0}}
- http://kifudepot.net/kifucontents.php?i ... 3D#player={"goto":{"m":30}}

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #106 Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2019 11:11 am 
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Can someone explain what happened at the end of the first game?

The sgf says B won on time, with the last move being S18, but on the video it seems that white answered rather quickly at T18. No countdown is even heard so white"s move must have been made on time. Nakamura Sumire then plays one more move and then the game apparently stops immediately...

2:40:33 B plays S18
2:40:43 W plays T18
2:41:02 B takes at T1
the game ends at once

Video starting at 2:40:28

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #107 Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2019 11:56 am 
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Hane forgot to press her clock. Sumire played her move anyway to be on the safe side but then signalled that she claimed the game on time. The referee Goto had to explain to startled Ayaka what happened then she accepted it.

Sumire did try to drop a hint by flashing her eyes to the clock.


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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #108 Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2019 12:16 pm 
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Ah, thanks! I completely missed that. I had noticed Sumire looked a bit uneasy before playing T1 but couldn't understand why. Too bad for her opponent, must be quite painful to lose a game like that.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #109 Posted: Fri Sep 27, 2019 5:36 am 
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I might usefully have mentioned that Sumire had a little earlier beaten Ayaka in an exhibition game in the Osaka version of the Hankyu Cool of the Evening go festival. Two things about that struck me as specially interesting. One was that the exhibition attracted over 1,000 fans.

The other was that Sumire made what is still a new move in a very common AI "direct 3-3" joseki. It was introduced at the end of August in Korea and a few Chinese players have taken it up, but it's still rare yet Sumre knew it. Kobayashi Satoru asked her about it and she confirmed she had been studying it. (It's move 24 if you want to look up the game, and the move that won the game, 126, impressed Murakawa Daisuke.)

Just think about that for a moment. A brand-new pro, just 10 years old, is already studying rarities at the cutting edge of go theory. I'd guess most people here would struggle to give the value of a simple thing like a hanetsugi boundary play on the third line, and there's little Violet already going boldly on beyond where no AI has gone before.

For me the name Violet is indelibly associated with Violet Elizabeth Bott, who would try to get her own way by stamping her childish foot at William and saying, "I'll thcream and thcream till I'm thick." She sounds like she would have made a good go player, but in reality was quite obnoxious. The Japanese Violet, however, makes me thcream, but it's a thcream of admiration, if you can imagine that.


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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #110 Posted: Fri Sep 27, 2019 6:01 am 
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Here's the game John mentions. http://www.igo-kifu.com/kifu.php?id=3709. Some pics at https://twitter.com/mainichi_igo/status ... 8499900416


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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #111 Posted: Fri Sep 27, 2019 8:15 am 
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Uberdude wrote:


What impresses me lowly kyu-player are those beautiful shapes in the running fight. I don't particulary understand :b49: especially after locally answering :w50: since the cut ( :b53: ) looks to my lowly kyu-player eyes overplay-ish.

I also admire here patience with not trying to "attack" (for lack of a better, ie japanese, word ; )) Black's floating center group.

And saving :w88: after :b95: is also cool. But I'm taken easily with such sequences since my own reading is leading nowhere most of the times.

Time to go ask Lizzie.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #112 Posted: Fri Sep 27, 2019 3:15 pm 
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Sorry for the double.

:b49: is indeed not a good move. The cut ( :b53: ) is apparently, but should be played sooner.

Win graph according to Lizzie (15k playouts)
Image


Analysis and variations (albeit quite a few wonky ones for my taste ^^) of GoReviewPartner, latest LZ weighs, 30 seconds per move (I marked every 10%-wingraph change in the SGF):

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #113 Posted: Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:28 pm 
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Sumire won yesterday against Yamamoto Kentaro 5p (male) in Honinbo group C.
This was a long game (3h time limits), and she attacked a lot, I don't have the game record.

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Last edited by sorin on Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #114 Posted: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:00 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #115 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 6:10 am 
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Unless otherwise stated all variations were at least looked at with 10k playouts.

With 50k playouts White's winrate after :w78: is 83% according to Lizzie (actually White had a 80% winrate at move 38 already). But my heart sunk when I saw this atari.

Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O . . . . . . . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 . a . . , . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 . . . . . . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]


My choice - due to concerns about my center group - would have been 'a' and Lizzie agrees but nonetheless the atari just loses 4%. (Btw, Black's cut was Lizzie's top choice by far.)

Until move :w86: they followed the line Lizzie would have played too.

Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O 4 . . . . b . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 3 . . . d . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 5 7 . 9 c . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . 8 6 a . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]


:b87: loses a whooping 11%! Lizzie's choice would have been 'a'.

But I - as White - would have been very, very scared after :b87: ... Lizzie agrees with White's handling of the attack but would have begun with forcing at 'b' before 'c'. I guess I could spend the rest of the afternoon figuring out, why this attachment "saves" White's group...

After Black answering 'c' at 'd', Lizzie gives White a winrate over 90%, so good job Sumire for judging/reading, that the center group was in no danger : )

Some general comments on imo interesting parts:

:w6: Of course no split!

:w8: Lizzie overwhelmingly prefers to attach below the hoshi right away. Not in terms of winrate but in terms of playouts: 75k to 2k, which would be attaching left of the bottom right komuku.

:b9: I thought this is too early but Lizzie (albeit prefering approaching the bottom left - just approaching! - and then pincer at the top) thinks this is okay winrate-wise (~1%).

:w10: Lizzie doesn't really consider this move very much with just 14 playouts to 20k, which would be attaching left of the bottom right komuku - just probing mind you! ( :w10: loses ~2%)

:w16: Lizzie prefers the shoulder-hit at M14 but that's minor winrate-wise (~-1.5%).

:b17: Gets some smack, though! (~-6%) Lizzie prefers the not-anything-strengthen-kosumi at K14.

:w22: Playouts-wise Lizzie prefers the mentioned attachment left of the bottom right komuku again (by a lot, :w22: just gets 450 playouts. The attachment gets over 20k). Again just probing and then switching to the hane in the upper right at P18 (P18-Q18-N18-M18-P11). But winrate-wise it's not even ~1%.

:b23: Lizzie thinks this should be played in the opposite direction, that is extending at H15. With over 10k playouts Lizzie would also abandon this stone to play H15. (~-4.7%) But just extending first to H15 and then poking at N14 to show some kiai!

:b27: This seems too thin for Lizzie's taste? (~-8%) It prefers the attachment at G16.

:w34: also gets some heat from Lizzie (~-6%). Direction-wise it prefers the right side, either at the top (N18) or at P11. Although even after N18, Lizzie would play P11 right after that. I guess this covers the cut at L12?

But :b35: gives the advantage right back to White (-~8%). Fighting spirit was called for: L13 and cut!

...so from :b9: to :b35: Black lost around 20% winrate according to Lizzie. The main reason being (I guess), Black did not really fight back.

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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #116 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 8:39 am 
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Here is Katago winrate (green) & score (purple) graph (with low playouts) :

Attachment:
Sumire Katago.png
Sumire Katago.png [ 83.81 KiB | Viewed 13290 times ]


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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #117 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 9:20 am 
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SoDesuNe wrote:
I guess I could spend the rest of the afternoon figuring out, why this attachment "saves" White's group...


Here is a review of the game that goes over that sequence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgkxYbL6YbQ

Video shortcuts:

8:52 black E10 cut
9:44 white K9 jump

It is in Korean, here are a few commentary highlights:

9:49 The jump works because of the aji of the white stone at O8
10:13 This sequence leads to a seki with great outside influence for white

I think the rest you can follow along visually without the audio.


Last edited by dshin on Fri Oct 04, 2019 1:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #118 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 9:30 am 
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Yamamoto's record last year was 4-10 and so far this year is a respectable 4-7, and of course he's 5-dan (and young - 39). I hope I hear the sound of onions sizzling.


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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #119 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 9:32 am 
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SoDesuNe, thank you for this excellent review! :)

SoDesuNe wrote:
:b9: I thought this is too early but Lizzie (albeit prefering approaching the bottom left - just approaching! - and then pincer at the top) thinks this is okay winrate-wise (~1%).

:w10: Lizzie doesn't really consider this move very much with just 14 playouts to 20k, which would be attaching left of the bottom right komuku - just probing mind you! ( :w10: loses ~2%)


14 playouts is not enough to get a reliable winrate estimate. Do what the Elf team did in their commentaries when a game play got fewer than 500 playouts. Inherit the winrate estimate from Lizzie's best reply to :w10:. :) That may also apply to :b9:.

Edit:
SoDesuNe wrote:
:w34: also gets some heat from Lizzie (~-6%). Direction-wise it prefers the right side, either at the top (N18) or at P11. Although even after N18, Lizzie would play P11 right after that. I guess this covers the cut at L12?


P-11 not only bolsters White's central group, it reduces Black's right side. :)

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Last edited by Bill Spight on Fri Oct 04, 2019 10:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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 Post subject: Re: Following Nakamura Sumire
Post #120 Posted: Fri Oct 04, 2019 9:43 am 
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Tryss wrote:
Here is Katago winrate (green) & score (purple) graph (with low playouts) :

Attachment:
Sumire Katago.png


Very interesting! :)

For the first half of the game it seems like there is a close approximation between winrate percentages and points. What is the average winrate difference per point difference?

Just eyeballing it, it looks roughly like 1 pt. = 2½%. This would be in line with statistics on professional play in the 1970s, where retrospectively altering komi by 1 pt. would make a difference in wins of between 2% and 3%.

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