AGA losses in 2011 Congress

The home for discussions about the AGA.
Kirby
Honinbo
Posts: 9553
Joined: Wed Feb 24, 2010 6:04 pm
GD Posts: 0
KGS: Kirby
Tygem: 커비라고해
Has thanked: 1583 times
Been thanked: 1707 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Kirby »

I think HKA's post really helps to clarify some confusion about the money issue. Being a layperson myself, the post leaves me with a couple of questions:

1.) "So if there job was to deliver a $30,000 profit - well, they needed to charge attendees $125 more per person"

The quote above seems to suggest that the aim is to make a $30000 profit, whereas Feng Yun's note suggests that the $30000 was a loss - that is, not even breaking even. Is this just a play on words, or are HKA and Feng Yun talking about different events?

2.) With the same quote, above, how is the $125 figure calculated? Doesn't the amount made depend on how many people attend? This seems difficult to forcast accurately.

3.) It sounds like, from HKA's post, that it was known beforehand that a Southern California congress would not likely be profitable for the AGA. Is this true? If so, why have congress there? Sure, it might be a novelty to have the event in a place like that, but $30000 is a lot of money. To me it seems slightly prodigal to risk that amount of money provided by other people if you anticipate beforehand that a loss will be incurred. Am I missing a rationale for deciding to have congress in such an expensive location?

---

I think that HKA has done an excellent job in his post above, but perhaps if he or someone else "in the know" provided answers to these questions, the situation would be crystal clear to a guy like me... :-)
be immersed
HKA
Lives with ko
Posts: 180
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 6:02 am
Rank: Declining
GD Posts: 2428
Location: Usually the third line
Has thanked: 66 times
Been thanked: 341 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by HKA »

Thanks for the compliments, although I believe if you read my post a little more carefully, some of your answers are there.

I am NOT suggesting that the goal should be to make $30,000, although some might think that should be the goal. Again, to me, the perfect Congress should break even exactly, but, in order to make sure you do not lose money, it is usual that some money is made. When I ran the Congress, I lowered prices from the year before and increased the prize fund. I was diligent in cost controls and some folks complained, and others said I should raise the price since folks paid more last year and make more money. I cannot recall how much profit resulted, but it was under $10,000 and more than I would have liked (by the way, I do not mean to brag - though I take credit for a frugal overal philosophy - Sam Zimmerman handled far more of the detail work and the follow through than I did - he gets 90% of the credit). Because I think we should make it as affordable as possible.

My understanding the loss was approximately $20,000. There were about 400 folks at the Congress, therefore, breakeven would have meant $50 more each to close that gap. Of course, $50 more means a few more folks do not come, and the problem continues.

The Minutes excerpt referred to a $30,000 profit this year - to turn a $20,000 loss to a $30,000 gain with 400 folk would be, I believe, $125 more each.

Yes it is difficult to forcast - which is precisely what I said. You have some per person costs, some fixed costs. You need to charge enough to cover both, but if you set the price point at an attendance of 400, and 500 show, the fixed costs stay the same, and a profit occurs. If only 300 show, a loss results.

Why hold a Congress there? Again, did you read my post? First of all folks were willing to do it. Second, it was thought that finally having a Congress in So Cal was an important thing to do. It was hoped that a new location would bring in fresh locals and more folks from other places with the event being in a new area.

I do not have any inside info on what went wrong, but I have alot of experience with how these things are run. It is easy to not think of everything you need for an event that moves to different locations each time it happens. And it is important that this be a movable feast, because people's first Congress is usually one closest to them, and it is usually not their last.
My days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle
pwaldron
Lives in gote
Posts: 409
Joined: Wed May 19, 2010 8:40 am
GD Posts: 1072
Has thanked: 29 times
Been thanked: 182 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by pwaldron »

Kirby wrote:3.) It sounds like, from HKA's post, that it was known beforehand that a Southern California congress would not likely be profitable for the AGA. Is this true? If so, why have congress there? Sure, it might be a novelty to have the event in a place like that, but $30000 is a lot of money. To me it seems slightly prodigal to risk that amount of money provided by other people if you anticipate beforehand that a loss will be incurred. Am I missing a rationale for deciding to have congress in such an expensive location?


I don't think anyone deliberately plans to run a loss when they run a big event. Surely they knew that Southern California was expensive and that the margin for error was smaller than some other locations, but the risk was regarded as acceptable.

The comments from the organizers that are on the record seem to indicate that the loss was largely due to a number of cancellations and the larger than expected number of people receiving complimentary congresses. The cancellations are a problem, but presumably can be dealt with by appropriate cancellation penalties.

The number of comped attendees is something that will need to be considered in the future, however. The AGA and the congress will have to decide whether they can invite an unlimited number of pros, and they'll need to decide how many others should be free. How much E-Journal coverage is really necessary, and is it all that beneficial?

For my money, I'd say the comps should be the previous year's congress director(s), the current congress director(s), the US Open TD(s), the pros and the AGA president(?).
User avatar
Joaz Banbeck
Judan
Posts: 5546
Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:30 am
Rank: 1D AGA
GD Posts: 1512
Kaya handle: Test
Location: Banbeck Vale
Has thanked: 1080 times
Been thanked: 1434 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Joaz Banbeck »

pwaldron wrote:
Kirby wrote:3.) It sounds like, from HKA's post, that it was known beforehand that a Southern California congress would not likely be profitable for the AGA. Is this true? If so, why have congress there? Sure, it might be a novelty to have the event in a place like that, but $30000 is a lot of money. To me it seems slightly prodigal to risk that amount of money provided by other people if you anticipate beforehand that a loss will be incurred. Am I missing a rationale for deciding to have congress in such an expensive location?


I don't think anyone deliberately plans to run a loss when they run a big event. Surely they knew that Southern California was expensive and that the margin for error was smaller than some other locations, but the risk was regarded as acceptable.
...


Yes, of course, we knew the risks going in. And, no, we did not plan to run it at a loss.

However, we did not judge the margin of error to be substantially smaller than previous congresses. There are disadvantages here, but also advantages. We knew that there was the disadvantage of Southern California being relatively expensive. We also believed that there was an advantage of having relatively large local Asian populations which had additional go players who had never been involved in the AGA. We figured that we would have extra costs balanced with extra players.

It was only with the assumption that we could recruit those extra Asian players that we proceeded.

We had substantial plans for recruiting those players, starting with the Cotsen in the previous year. But the people who were going to follow through on those plans never did. There was no significant recruitment of local Asian players. The disadvantages of Southern California were still inevitable, but the advantages were allowed to slip away.

When I learned of this ( along with a few other events that indicated impending doom ) I resigned.
Help make L19 more organized. Make an index: https://lifein19x19.com/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=5207
User avatar
jts
Oza
Posts: 2662
Joined: Sat Sep 18, 2010 4:17 pm
Rank: kgs 6k
GD Posts: 0
Has thanked: 310 times
Been thanked: 632 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by jts »

Thanks, joaz. That's the sort of detail that would be obvious to everyone involved in planning, but would never have occurred to an outside observer in a million years. it makes things fall into place.

(meta: this is the sort of verstehen the third estate is looking for when we say we want more "transparency" from our institutions.)
User avatar
Joaz Banbeck
Judan
Posts: 5546
Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:30 am
Rank: 1D AGA
GD Posts: 1512
Kaya handle: Test
Location: Banbeck Vale
Has thanked: 1080 times
Been thanked: 1434 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Joaz Banbeck »

HKA wrote:...My understanding the loss was approximately $20,000. ...


The most accurate number that I have heard is around 22,000. Apparently there is still some uncertainty about it.
Help make L19 more organized. Make an index: https://lifein19x19.com/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=5207
Kirby
Honinbo
Posts: 9553
Joined: Wed Feb 24, 2010 6:04 pm
GD Posts: 0
KGS: Kirby
Tygem: 커비라고해
Has thanked: 1583 times
Been thanked: 1707 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Kirby »

HKA wrote:Thanks for the compliments, although I believe if you read my post a little more carefully, some of your answers are there.

I am NOT suggesting that the goal should be to make $30,000, although some might think that should be the goal. Again, to me, the perfect Congress should break even exactly, but, in order to make sure you do not lose money, it is usual that some money is made. When I ran the Congress, I lowered prices from the year before and increased the prize fund. I was diligent in cost controls and some folks complained, and others said I should raise the price since folks paid more last year and make more money. I cannot recall how much profit resulted, but it was under $10,000 and more than I would have liked (by the way, I do not mean to brag - though I take credit for a frugal overal philosophy - Sam Zimmerman handled far more of the detail work and the follow through than I did - he gets 90% of the credit). Because I think we should make it as affordable as possible.

My understanding the loss was approximately $20,000. There were about 400 folks at the Congress, therefore, breakeven would have meant $50 more each to close that gap. Of course, $50 more means a few more folks do not come, and the problem continues.

The Minutes excerpt referred to a $30,000 profit this year - to turn a $20,000 loss to a $30,000 gain with 400 folk would be, I believe, $125 more each.

Yes it is difficult to forcast - which is precisely what I said. You have some per person costs, some fixed costs. You need to charge enough to cover both, but if you set the price point at an attendance of 400, and 500 show, the fixed costs stay the same, and a profit occurs. If only 300 show, a loss results.

Why hold a Congress there? Again, did you read my post? First of all folks were willing to do it. Second, it was thought that finally having a Congress in So Cal was an important thing to do. It was hoped that a new location would bring in fresh locals and more folks from other places with the event being in a new area.

I do not have any inside info on what went wrong, but I have alot of experience with how these things are run. It is easy to not think of everything you need for an event that moves to different locations each time it happens. And it is important that this be a movable feast, because people's first Congress is usually one closest to them, and it is usually not their last.


I don't know if it's your intention, HKA, but t hurts my feelings when you ask if I read your post. Of course I read your post, and that is why I asked some clarifying questions. The purpose of writing is communication, and the fact that I still had questions means that there were some parts of the post that I wanted more clarification on.

I tried to make it clear that I appreciate that you are sharing information with us. I am not involved with the AGA, so even after reading your post, I just wanted some clarification. I didn't realize that asking for clarification would be met with claims that I didn't read what you posted. I am simply trying to communicate here.

That being said, it sounds like the $30000 profit you were mentioning in your post was a different figure than the $30000 loss that Feng Yun cited. I was confused, because these were the same numbers. It also sounds like a loss was not anticipated.

Despite having read both your original post and reply, however, it's still confusing to me why it was decided to hold congress in "So Cal" when it is so expensive there. Sure, people were willing to do it and there may be new locals that would attend, but a $30000 or $20000 or whatever amount loss is quite significant, and it seems odd to me that there aren't other areas in America that would have a good attendance without incurring such a loss.

But I am not asking for any further clarification on this, I have read both of your posts multiple times, and it doesn't seem like clarifying questions are very welcome.

In any case, thanks for the detail that you have provided. I think that it at least gives a better picture of what's going on with the AGA.
be immersed
snorri
Lives in sente
Posts: 706
Joined: Fri Jul 02, 2010 8:15 am
GD Posts: 846
Has thanked: 252 times
Been thanked: 251 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by snorri »

So reading all the threads posts so far, it doesn't seem to me there's a huge scandal. It does look like the AGA could use a volunteer actuary to help manage risks in planning, especially if a lesser known venue like Vancouver is to be considered in the future.
pwaldron
Lives in gote
Posts: 409
Joined: Wed May 19, 2010 8:40 am
GD Posts: 1072
Has thanked: 29 times
Been thanked: 182 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by pwaldron »

snorri wrote:So reading all the threads posts so far, it doesn't seem to me there's a huge scandal. It does look like the AGA could use a volunteer actuary to help manage risks in planning, especially if a lesser known venue like Vancouver is to be considered in the future.


Alas, the AGA could use many volunteers, not all of which are available. :(
pwaldron
Lives in gote
Posts: 409
Joined: Wed May 19, 2010 8:40 am
GD Posts: 1072
Has thanked: 29 times
Been thanked: 182 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by pwaldron »

xed_over wrote:
pwaldron wrote: How much E-Journal coverage is really necessary, and is it all that beneficial?

eeekkk! this is the only way I get to go :)
I hope we're being beneficial.


It's a cost-benefit analysis. Suppose that the cost for EJ congress comps plus the extra office space is on the order of $5000 (just a guess). A pro game analysis can be had for $50, so what's better: congress coverage or having the E-Journal publish two extra game commentaries every week of the year?
snorri
Lives in sente
Posts: 706
Joined: Fri Jul 02, 2010 8:15 am
GD Posts: 846
Has thanked: 252 times
Been thanked: 251 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by snorri »

pwaldron wrote:
snorri wrote:So reading all the threads posts so far, it doesn't seem to me there's a huge scandal. It does look like the AGA could use a volunteer actuary to help manage risks in planning, especially if a lesser known venue like Vancouver is to be considered in the future.


Alas, the AGA could use many volunteers, not all of which are available. :(


Yes, getting volunteers is hard. When things happen that make people good people quit, word gets around.
User avatar
Tofu
Dies with sente
Posts: 105
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 9:03 am
Rank: KGS 4 kyu
GD Posts: 0
KGS: Tofu
Location: Los Angeles
Has thanked: 28 times
Been thanked: 22 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Tofu »

The loss seems to me to have been explained well enough.

More concerning to me is the lack of follow through. The e-journal reported a loss and promised a follow up response. Instead the board decided that it had "blown over".

A loss is not a big deal, it happens. But when the e-journal reports that we will get a follow up and we do not it starts to get more concerning. People appreciate when organizations do what they say they will.

I very much enjoyed the 2011 congress though. It was the best vacation I've taken in years.
EricBackus
Dies with sente
Posts: 83
Joined: Sun May 09, 2010 10:28 pm
Rank: 2 kyu
GD Posts: 109
Universal go server handle: EricBackus
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 29 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by EricBackus »

Well, my perspective on all this is different:

I thought that the Congress in Santa Barbara was so good, I think we should keep doing it there every year. The weather was fantastic. The food was fantastic. The ocean views were fantastic. The walking/jogging trail around the lagoon was fantastic. The logistics of getting there were easy. The go was fantastic. Why not go back?

I would be happy to pay $125 more to do it again, if that's what it takes. And presumably, we could learn from the loss that we took last year, and find a way to do things again without that loss and without having to charge significantly more.

I know the locals who helped organize last year won't want to do all that work again so soon, so we'd need to find a way for the rest of us to somehow organize it, but majority of the groundwork was done last year. We just need to find a way to leverage that and learn how to not lose $22000.

Thank you to all who worked on the 2011 Congress, I really enjoyed it!
User avatar
Joaz Banbeck
Judan
Posts: 5546
Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:30 am
Rank: 1D AGA
GD Posts: 1512
Kaya handle: Test
Location: Banbeck Vale
Has thanked: 1080 times
Been thanked: 1434 times

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by Joaz Banbeck »

EricBackus wrote:... we could learn from the loss that we took last year, and find a way to do things again without that loss ...

...and learn how to not lose $22000...


I think all of us in this thread would agree with that. We're just waiting for the AGA to tell us what happened. Learning isn't likely if all the details stay hidden.
Help make L19 more organized. Make an index: https://lifein19x19.com/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=5207
direwolf
Dies in gote
Posts: 30
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 10:47 am
Rank: IGS 3k
GD Posts: 0
Has thanked: 2 times
Been thanked: 1 time

Re: AGA losses in 2011 Congress

Post by direwolf »

Just to me this whole thing does not sound right...

One of the reason for congress not breaking even or turning a modest profit as because of no shows. Usually when you register for a conference there is a drop dead date when you have to pay or else you will be deregistered. If this typical process was followed, there should have been red flags indicating there were not going to be enough people attending. This would have allowed the leaders to work with the venue to reduce costs. How did the organizers allow at least 50 people to slide on payment and get themselves into this issue?

Personally, this goes to the point I made in a previous thread about AGA and over all leadership issues. With two members of the board of AGA having things to do with the congress this reflects on the overall leadership and vision.

Also, the issue with the board minutes now being late again and the issue of not having a secretary does not cut it. I have been on boards or in meetings where there was no secretary and the duties have been shared. No organization of this size should not go with out posted board meetings for half a year.

Once again poor leadership.
Post Reply