Polama wrote:Kirby wrote:But if I try to figure out why move Z is a good move, when it's not, I might trick myself into false reasoning.
...
The white group being pushed around in the kifu ends up having access to two areas of the board. The profitable path to life isn't obvious to me, but he's clearly got options. I also noticed that as black commits to harassing that group, white solidifies the top left corner. Now, when it ends, he has a nice view into the influence black created from the chase. That negates the value of the black group. I can even imagine white now threatening the middle black stones as a leaning attack on the lonely two black stones at the top. And as somebody else pointed out, the bottom left looks invadable.
Thanks to computers, a helpful thing you can do is flip back and forth between late in the game and the opening in the kifu. If you think black is much stronger here, where do you expect him to profit? Jump to the late game, did he? Follow the fate of weak groups: are they bordered by large black territory, implying they gave up a lot to settle? Or do they protrude into black regions, destroying profit? When what looks like territory vanishes by the end, find where that happens in the kifu. Did the player sacrifice it? What did they get in return? Or did the other player attack and destroy it? Why were they able to? When were the seeds of the invasion planted? What aji mattered? And going back again, why did the aji get left? Did the other player profit leaving the aji behind? In hindsight, does it suggest a different path? Not having to actually play out the stones, you can explore the consequences of a game very quickly.
Pro moves that don't make sense are markers to go theories or reading you don't posses yet.
Let's see...
White moves out into the center, Black extends the bottom and White invades the top. Is this what we expected?
$$Wc Continuation - White invades the top
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X O X . . . 5 . 6 . . . . . . |
$$ | . . O , . O X . . 8 9 . . . . X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O . . . 0 . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X X . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O X . . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . 2 . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . X . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . 1 . 3 . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X . . . . . . . . . . . O . . |
$$ | . . . X . . X . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . 4 . . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Wc Continuation - White invades the top
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X O X . . . 5 . 6 . . . . . . |
$$ | . . O , . O X . . 8 9 . . . . X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O . . . 0 . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X X . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O X . . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . 2 . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . X . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . 1 . 3 . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X . . . . . . . . . . . O . . |
$$ | . . . X . . X . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . 4 . . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]
Twenty-one moves later White extends from the bottom right shimari with the marked stone and we are pretty much left with the question of who will get what on the right side versus what is the status of the bottom left.
$$Bc Continuation 2 - Right side versus bottom left
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X O X . . . O . X . . . . . . |
$$ | . . O , . O X . . X O . . . X X . X . |
$$ | . . . O . O . . . X O . O . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X X . O . . . X . . . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . . X O X . . . . O 2 . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . . . X 1 . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . X . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O X . . . O . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X O X . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . X 0 . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . O O O . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . 7 X . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X . . . . . . . . . . . O . . |
$$ | . . 5 X . . X 9 3 , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . 4 . . . . 8 . . X . W . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . 6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bc Continuation 2 - Right side versus bottom left
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X O X . . . O . X . . . . . . |
$$ | . . O , . O X . . X O . . . X X . X . |
$$ | . . . O . O . . . X O . O . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X X . O . . . X . . . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . . X O X . . . . O 2 . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . . . X 1 . . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . O X X . . X . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O X . . . O . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X O X . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . X 0 . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . O O O . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . X O . O . 7 X . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . X . . . . . . . . . . . O . . |
$$ | . . 5 X . . X 9 3 , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . 4 . . . . 8 . . X . W . . O . . . |
$$ | . . . 6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]
In the end, the board looks like this. How does it compare to our expectations from the initial position in the OP?
$$Bc Final Position - B+3.5 (komi 4.5)
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . X O . X . . . X . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O . O X . X X O X . . . . X . |
$$ | . . . O X O X X X . O O X X . . X . X |
$$ | . O O , . O X . . X O . X O X X O X . |
$$ | O O X O . O O O O X O . O O X . O X O |
$$ | O X X X O O X X O X X O . . O O O O . |
$$ | X . X X X O X O X O O O O O O . . O . |
$$ | . X O O X X X . X X X X . X X O O X O |
$$ | X . X O X X . . X O O X X . X X X X . |
$$ | . X X O O X . . X O . O . O O , X X . |
$$ | . . . X O O X X X O . O O . X O X O O |
$$ | . . . X O O X O X . O . . O O O X O . |
$$ | . . . X O . O O O O O X O X X . O O . |
$$ | . O X X O O O O . . O X O O . X X O . |
$$ | X X . . X O X . O O X . X X X X O . . |
$$ | O O X X . X X X X X . X X O O X O . . |
$$ | . O O X O O O O . . X X O O . O O . . |
$$ | O X O O X X X X . . . X O O . . O . . |
$$ | . . O X X X . . . . . . X . O O . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bc Final Position - B+3.5 (komi 4.5)
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . X O . X . . . X . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O O . O X . X X O X . . . . X . |
$$ | . . . O X O X X X . O O X X . . X . X |
$$ | . O O , . O X . . X O . X O X X O X . |
$$ | O O X O . O O O O X O . O O X . O X O |
$$ | O X X X O O X X O X X O . . O O O O . |
$$ | X . X X X O X O X O O O O O O . . O . |
$$ | . X O O X X X . X X X X . X X O O X O |
$$ | X . X O X X . . X O O X X . X X X X . |
$$ | . X X O O X . . X O . O . O O , X X . |
$$ | . . . X O O X X X O . O O . X O X O O |
$$ | . . . X O O X O X . O . . O O O X O . |
$$ | . . . X O . O O O O O X O X X . O O . |
$$ | . O X X O O O O . . O X O O . X X O . |
$$ | X X . . X O X . O O X . X X X X O . . |
$$ | O O X X . X X X X X . X X O O X O . . |
$$ | . O O X O O O O . . X X O O . O O . . |
$$ | O X O O X X X X . . . X O O . . O . . |
$$ | . . O X X X . . . . . . X . O O . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]