Calculated Risks

All non-Go discussions should go here.
Post Reply
Aidoneus
Lives in gote
Posts: 603
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2014 12:37 pm
GD Posts: 0
Location: Indiana
Has thanked: 114 times
Been thanked: 176 times

Calculated Risks

Post by Aidoneus »

As a SF-reading teen (think 1950-60s: Asimov, Bradbury, Clark, Dick, Heinlein, Lem, Silverberg, Sturgeon, Van Vogt, etc.), I dreamed of space travel. By the time we started exploring near space it became clear that the notion of space as an empty vacuum was wrong--that beyond the Earth's Van Allen Belt astronauts would encounter significant solar radiation (hence, keeping space stations in low-earth orbits) and that the Sun's heliosphere is only a partial shield for extra-solar radiation. Ever since this discovery, I have been bursting balloons, though I take absolutely no pleasure in it. I merely do so to encourage people to think more about preserving earth, as it may take longer to solve the major issue of radiation shielding--as opposed to the more tractable issues of bone and muscle loss--than our present trajectory seems to indicate for human survival. (Take your pick of apocalypses!) Sure, send forth the robots, but meanwhile take better care of the Earth!

In any case, the following article is more honest about the difficulties than the usual cheer leading. Calculated Risks: How Radiation Rules Manned Mars Exploration: http://www.space.com/24731-mars-radiati ... rover.html

Edit: To be fair, here is one of today's biggest cheer leaders: http://aeon.co/magazine/technology/the- ... w-on-mars/
Bill Spight
Honinbo
Posts: 10905
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 3651 times
Been thanked: 3373 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Bill Spight »

Cockroaches in space!

:mrgreen:
The Adkins Principle:
At some point, doesn't thinking have to go on?
— Winona Adkins

Visualize whirled peas.

Everything with love. Stay safe.
User avatar
EdLee
Honinbo
Posts: 8859
Joined: Sat Apr 24, 2010 6:49 pm
GD Posts: 312
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Has thanked: 349 times
Been thanked: 2070 times

Post by EdLee »

Yes, roaches will live through basically anything.
Aidoneus
Lives in gote
Posts: 603
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2014 12:37 pm
GD Posts: 0
Location: Indiana
Has thanked: 114 times
Been thanked: 176 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Aidoneus »

So you two are saying, what?... If any aliens reach Earth they will be descended from alien cockroaches or that Earth cockroaches will reach the stars after we are gone...Some optimistic guys you are!
cockroach.jpg
cockroach.jpg (3.77 KiB) Viewed 6066 times
Bill Spight
Honinbo
Posts: 10905
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 3651 times
Been thanked: 3373 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Bill Spight »

Seriously, if we do terraform Mars, one of the first fauna that we send should probably be cockroaches, because of their resistance to radiation. :)

And, as far as our own resistance to radiation goes, IIUC, humans have lived through a number of magnetic pole reversals, with the concomitant weakening of the earth's magnetic field, and, presumably, more radiation coming through. :)
The Adkins Principle:
At some point, doesn't thinking have to go on?
— Winona Adkins

Visualize whirled peas.

Everything with love. Stay safe.
Aidoneus
Lives in gote
Posts: 603
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2014 12:37 pm
GD Posts: 0
Location: Indiana
Has thanked: 114 times
Been thanked: 176 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Aidoneus »

Bill Spight wrote:Seriously, if we do terraform Mars, one of the first fauna that we send should probably be cockroaches, because of their resistance to radiation. :)

And, as far as our own resistance to radiation goes, IIUC, humans have lived through a number of magnetic pole reversals, with the concomitant weakening of the earth's magnetic field, and, presumably, more radiation coming through. :)
According to multiple sources (e.g., NASA: http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/featur ... ersal.html ; Universe Today: http://www.universetoday.com/110475/wha ... oles-flip/) the last reversal was about 750 thousand years ago--long before homo sapiens arose as far as I know. The weakening of the magnetic field over the last century is worrisome, or would be if there were not so many other scenarios from which to hide under the bed.

Time to start work on the blockbuster movie script:

http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... -expected/

http://sedonanomalies.weebly.com/geomagnetics.html
Bill Spight
Honinbo
Posts: 10905
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 1:24 pm
Has thanked: 3651 times
Been thanked: 3373 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Bill Spight »

Aidoneus wrote:
Bill Spight wrote:Seriously, if we do terraform Mars, one of the first fauna that we send should probably be cockroaches, because of their resistance to radiation. :)

And, as far as our own resistance to radiation goes, IIUC, humans have lived through a number of magnetic pole reversals, with the concomitant weakening of the earth's magnetic field, and, presumably, more radiation coming through. :)
According to multiple sources (e.g., NASA: http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/featur ... ersal.html ; Universe Today: http://www.universetoday.com/110475/wha ... oles-flip/) the last reversal was about 750 thousand years ago--long before homo sapiens arose as far as I know.
Hmmm. I thought the reversals were more frequent. Well, hominins, then. :) Certainly mammals.
The weakening of the magnetic field over the last century is worrisome, or would be if there were not so many other scenarios from which to hide under the bed.
Maybe Yellowstone will blow. :mrgreen:
The Adkins Principle:
At some point, doesn't thinking have to go on?
— Winona Adkins

Visualize whirled peas.

Everything with love. Stay safe.
User avatar
Bantari
Gosei
Posts: 1639
Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 6:34 pm
GD Posts: 0
Universal go server handle: Bantari
Location: Ponte Vedra
Has thanked: 642 times
Been thanked: 490 times

Re:

Post by Bantari »

EdLee wrote:Yes, roaches will live through basically anything.
When I step on one, it dies. I know. I've seen it happen.
- Bantari
______________________________________________
WARNING: This post might contain Opinions!!
goTony
Lives in gote
Posts: 351
Joined: Tue Oct 22, 2013 12:22 am
Rank: OGS 11kyu
GD Posts: 0
KGS: gotony
OGS: nghtstalker
Location: Washington State
Has thanked: 272 times
Been thanked: 60 times
Contact:

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by goTony »

I travel thru the dark cold of space, spinning and not feeling it, travelling in time, huge distances very fast. My spaceship is lovely beautiful, and as perfectly adapted to Human life as possibly can be. I am an astronaut or if u prefer cosmonaut on the space ship earth.
Walla Walla GO Club -(on FB)

We play because we enjoy the beauty of the game, the snap and feel of real stones, and meeting interesting people. Hope to see ya there! お願いします!

Anthony
Aidoneus
Lives in gote
Posts: 603
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2014 12:37 pm
GD Posts: 0
Location: Indiana
Has thanked: 114 times
Been thanked: 176 times

Re: Calculated Risks

Post by Aidoneus »

goTony wrote:I travel thru the dark cold of space, spinning and not feeling it, travelling in time, huge distances very fast. My spaceship is lovely beautiful, and as perfectly adapted to Human life as possibly can be. I am an astronaut or if u prefer cosmonaut on the space ship earth.
Buckminster Fuller? I read his book Operating Manual for Spaceship Earth too long ago to remember any specific quotes!
Post Reply