as0770 wrote:What can we expect by a change to komi 7.5?
I think Zen may drop out of the champion league and A league if komi is 7.5pt. But we won't know until we try.
In the Champions League there are 3 Leela networks. They don't care about the komi, all results of them are due to resignation. So playing with a komi of 7.5 would have lead to the same results, right?
Not necessarily. In fact, Leela Zero should only lose by resignation, if she lose 0.5pt, then there is definitively something wrong. Same goes for AQ, Leela and Ray.
But let's take and example, LZ (black) vs Zen (white), komi=6.5pt
20 moves before the end of the game, black (LZ) is about to win by 0.5pt, seems good for LZ. But because LZ is trained for 7.5pt komi, she believes she will loose by 0.5 (her value network gives a 23% win rate), so she starts desperate attempts at complicating the game, play weird end game, lose points here and there, then her win rate drops bellow 20% and finally she resigns.
Zen was suppose to loose, but he ends up winning, Leela Zero resigns from a completely lost position.
4th bot is Zen, it won two games with white by resignation of the opponent in completely lost positions.
Difficult to say, maybe Zen was losing by 0.5pt 20 moves before then end, and the opponent, believing it was losing, throw the game away?
The other games of Zen where lost, so also no influence by the komi.
For those ones, I agree!
Even though I doubt it will make any difference I'll change the komi for the Champions League to 7.5 from now on since it would have lead to the same results in the previous games.
If you do so, I encourage you to replay all the matches of the league, but, sure, that's a lot of time, energy (and money).
In League A it doesn't look very different. I am very sure the inaccuracy in the results is many times smaller than the statistical fluctuation of a 20 games tournament.
Well, I will be surprised if Zen can score 14 wins.
You know, even between bots that are trained at 7.5pt komi, it could make a difference. Maybe some of them are stronger "as black", and they loose that "edge" because of the 6.5pt komi? Who know?