Gérard TAILLE wrote:Bill Spight wrote:Gérard TAILLE wrote:OK Bill, now take the complete game (see the game I proposed but here with a simplier upper side)
{21 ||| 18 | 4 || 0 | -14} + {20|0} + {0|-6} + {4|0}
What is the best sequence for this game if it is white to play?
Let's call the games, G, H, M, and N. I'll us a minus sign to indicate a White moves, a plus sign to indicate a Black move. We start with a mean territorial value of 11½ + 10 - 3 + 2 = 20½.
First, let White play the ever popular hotstrat strategy, taking the average gains in order.
1) - G + H - G + G - M + N = 20½ - 11½ + 10 - 9 + 7 - 3 + 2 = 16
After Black replies in H, the rest is provable correct. Can White do better? Let's see.
2) - H + G - M + N = 20½ - 10 + 11½ - 3 + 2 = 21
That's worse.

Can Black do better than 1)?
3 - H + G - H + G - M + N = 20½ - 11½ + 9 - 10 + 7 - 3 + 2 = 14
That's 2 points worse than 1). Hotstrat wins.

Yes Bill here is my point. In this example you have to begin by this 9½ gote instead of the simple 10 gote.
This is very strange. Isn't it?
Well, first, I goofed and used 11½ (the mean value) instead of 9½ (the gain) in my calculations.

I realized that when I looked over my note and went back and corrected it.
But for a play with a slightly smaller gain than another play to be preferred to that play is not strange. It is not usual, but it is not too uncommon.
It seems to me it is due to the potential double sente hidden in the game G.
Edit:
The double sente aspect has nothing to do with it. For instance, let's replace {18|4||0|-14} with {18|4||-7}. That makes G = {21|||18|4||-7}. Remember, H = {20|0}, M = {0|-6}, and N = {4|0}.
First White plays the hotstrat strategy of playing the largest play (on average) first.
1) - H + G - M + N = 20½ - 10 + 9½ - 3 + 2 = 19
Can White do better? Let's see.
2) - G + H - G + M - N = 20½ - 9½ + 10 - 9 + 3 - 2 = 13
That's 6 points better, not just 1 point better.
Edit2: Hmmm. Can Black do better than 2)?
3) - G + G - H + G - M + N = 20½ - 9½ + 9 - 10 + 7 - 3 + 2 = 16
Yes, indeed. That's only 3 points worse.
Interestingly, best play at temperature 0 involves playing the next to largest play twice, once by White and once by Black.
