Elom0 wrote:
Advantage of first move = half the value of a move
Margin of error = half the advantage of first move
What a coincidence, I've been using that standard recently in my game reviews, I guess if it has pro approval it must be right!
Pro approval is just one opinion. Rather, the first statement is right as approximation due to my theorem 50, which Bill Spight motivated, I formulated and proved for the temperature T:
"For the net profit P of starting, then alternating, in an ideal environment [with N value drops], N >> 0 => P ~= T/2." [26]
As to the second statement, a margin of error can be chosen so a particular one is not right or wrong but rather a matter of preference. Bill has suggested a reason why to use this particular margin of error, which I have formulated as follows:
"[...] the minimum value of having the turn is 0 and the maximum value of having the turn is T. Then 0 is the estimated minimum error of having the turn and T/2 is the estimated maximum error of having the turn. Now, we can also estimate the average error as T/4. The maximum error of this estimation is T/4. [...]" [27]
However, apart from playing around with more numbers, I am not convinced that using any margin of error at all provides more practical information than not using any and instead only using the primary value, that is, the value (which is a net profit) of starting in an environment.
6 is the inherent value of sente, losing more than this is a big mistake
12 equals a pass in the opening, one handicap stone after the first, anything more than this is a blunder.
7 and 14.
References:
https://www.lifein19x19.com/forum/viewt ... 45#p143245