dutchie's journal

Create a study plan, track your progress and hold yourself accountable.
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by Tryss »

LZ with over 50k playout consider localy :

E4 : 21.3% with 40k playouts :
E4 continuation by LZ
E4 continuation by LZ
E4-LZContinuation.jpg (365.76 KiB) Viewed 16299 times
F3 : 21.6% with 16k playouts :
F3 continuation by LZ
F3 continuation by LZ
F3-LZContinuation.jpg (346.45 KiB) Viewed 16299 times
B3 : 20.7% with 4.7k playouts :
B3 continuation by LZ
B3 continuation by LZ
B3-LZContinuation.jpg (349.91 KiB) Viewed 16299 times
G3 and E3 get less than 20 playouts (so, not really seriously considered), with sub 20% winrate each

Other options are to tenuki, but with kinda low playouts (lower than B3).

Edit : added the "best" continuation that LZ plan for each of these moves
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by Uberdude »

Nice to see LZ approves of my f3 in response to white b3 :)
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by Tryss »

It's even the only move it consider (over 65k playout for it, while the others are all under 500)
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Post by EdLee »

Hi Tryss,

Thank you.

Noob question: is there a significance between the 40k (E4) v. 16k (F3) playouts ? Their winrates are very close ( 21.3% & 21.6% ),
but the playouts are quite different ?

Is it Lizzie ? Very pretty interface. :tmbup:

Just curious: what's LZ's winrate for :w1: , given 2-stones ?
Does :white:'s winrate start from ~0% and climb up to ~20% by :b18: ?
Or is it the opposite ? :white:'s winrate starts out higher than 20% at :w1: ( but under 50%, obviously ), and drops to ~20% by :b18: ?
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by Tryss »

Before :w1:, LZ gives white around 21% winrate, so there is no real winrate change by :b18:. Note that this evaluation is with 7.5 komi for white .


For the playouts, I'm pretty sure the difference is noise (due to the randomness of the tree exploration). I just did another run, and the results were :

F3 : 21.4% winrate with 42k playouts

E4 : 21.0% winrate with 33k playouts

B3 : 20.5% winrate with 8k playouts

So while last time LZ would have played E4, this time it would have played F3.

(I spend a little more playouts here, but the result would have been the same if I stopped a little earlier : F3 took the lead early this time)


And yes, this is lizzie
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Post by EdLee »

Tryss, Thank you.
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by dutchie »

Huh, interesting analysis. I'm surprised W is down to only ~20% winrate after less that 20 moves!
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by Bill Spight »

dutchie wrote:Huh, interesting analysis. I'm surprised W is down to only ~20% winrate after less that 20 moves!
EdLee wrote:Just curious: what's LZ's winrate for , given 2-stones ?
Tryss wrote:Before , LZ gives white around 21% winrate, so there is no real winrate change by . Note that this evaluation is with 7.5 komi for white .
The Adkins Principle:
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Visualize whirled peas.

Everything with love. Stay safe.
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by dutchie »

Again it's been too long. I've played (and lost) a couple tonight. One was a fun close fight that I ended up losing by 22.5. I'll attach it in case anyone is interested and wants to open up the SGF themselves for any comments, but I reviewed it with my opponent and I'm much more curious about the second game, where I ended up with a wall across the centre and then messed up attacks (kills?) on two invading groups. I went through and added some thoughts of my own, but the opening was a little weird as well as messing up the fights in the midgame.

Attachments
20180822-Neosilver.sgf
(11.22 KiB) Downloaded 669 times
20180822-Aralsa.sgf
(5.81 KiB) Downloaded 828 times
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Post by EdLee »

Hi dutchie,

:w8: human.

:w10: slow.

:w14: human:

:w16: slow, small.
( The game was B to lose after here. )

:b19:, :b21: how about kick-pincer combo ?

:b21: Does LZ like o17 area ?

:b23: :scratch: What does LZ think of this ?

:b27: What does LZ think about :b23: @ F9 directly ?
( foundation shapes study... :study: )

( :b21:+ :b23: ), ( :b27:+ :b31: ) Foundation shapes study :study: .
Instead of these 4 moves, imagine just 1 move around o17 area.
( Variation in SGF here still not sensing global perspective. )

Recent thread about direction.

:b37: note in SGF, "...make shape in the middle" --
Still missing global perspective, what mistakes led B to this position,
how to handle these stones.

( :b61:+ :b63: ) Hmm. Note in SGF, "No mindless atari" is good;
but insufficient here. ( emphasis on mindless, not atari. )
Problem here is knowledge gaps in foundation shapes.

( :b21:+ :b23: ), ( :b61:+ :b63: ) See Toothpaste and fractured shapes.

:b91: P16. Foundation shapes study :study:.
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Re:

Post by Tryss »

EdLee wrote: :w16: slow, small.
( The game was B to lose after here. )
After :w16:, LZ gives white around 30% winrate
:b19:, :b21: how about kick-pincer combo ?
LZ choice. Interesting note : her favorite pincer after the kick is D11. This move is never on my radar, so I learned something new here. (but other pincers seems playable)

:b21: Does LZ like o17 area ?
LZ choice too
:b23: :scratch: What does LZ think of this ?
-11% winrate, black advantage is mostly gone (black has now 53% winrate)
:b27: What does LZ think about :b23: @ L9 directly ?
( foundation shapes study... :study: )
You mean D9? (L9 is in the middle of the board). If so, less bad, but LZ favorite move is the D8 kosumi

The elephant eye at E11 feels like a serious mistake. I mean, LZ can manage to get an ok result from it, but the knight move at E10 or the 1 space jump at E9 feels much less error prone.


After 37, black winrate is down to 22%, a loss of over 40% winrate compared to the situation after :w20:
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Post by EdLee »

Hi Tryss,

Thanks.
favorite pincer after the kick is D11. This move is never on my radar
Yea, D11 quite natural. :) Human reasoning: D12 too close to
W's iron pillar, so pull back to D11 ( but I don't know bot reasoning :) ).
You mean D9? but LZ favorite move is the D8 kosumi
Thanks; typo: I meant F9 knight's. D8 kosumi, thanks.
:b21: [cap] at E11 feels like a serious mistake.
@dutchie: LZ's 'hint' to you: what was your plan for :b21: at E11 ? You're not building a huge moyo. Just take a big point ( O17 area ) and keep the lead.
After :b37: , black winrate is down to 22%, a loss of over 40% winrate compared to the situation after :w20:
@dutchie, LZ's lesson for you (thanks to Tryss): how to lose the game in 8 moves...
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Re: dutchie's journal

Post by dutchie »

Thank you folks, a lot to think about. I honestly completely forgot that kick/pincer moves even existed, Direction of play and whole board thinking are so important!
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Post by EdLee »

Hi Tryss,
Speaking of pincer...
No connection to dutchie's game.
But in case you're still reading this thread, a curious question:
Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$B
$$ -----------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . 7 8 . 5 . 6 . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . 9 4 . . . . . , . . . . . 1 . . . |
$$ | . . 0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
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$$ | . . . 2 . . . . . , . . . . . 3 . . . |
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$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ----------------------------------------[/go]
Does LZ have a significant change in winrate for W on :w10: ?
Thanks. :)
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Re:

Post by Tryss »

EdLee wrote:Hi Tryss,
Speaking of pincer...
No connection to dutchie's game.
But in case you're still reading this thread, a curious question:
Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$B
$$ -----------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . 7 8 . 5 . 6 . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . 9 4 . . . . . , . . . . . 1 . . . |
$$ | . . 0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . , . . . . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . 2 . . . . . , . . . . . 3 . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ----------------------------------------[/go]
Does LZ have a significant change in winrate for W on :w10: ?
Thanks. :)
Yes, LZ (#153) consider this a -6% error. What's surprising is that the "punishment" at C18 is considered a -9.5% mistake !
Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bc
$$ -----------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . 1 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X O . X . O . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . X O . 4 . . . , . . . . . X . . . |
$$ | . . O . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . , . . . . . , . . . . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ----------------------------------------[/go]
I'll explore this with stronger networks to see if they agree
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